Macro announcements change the equilibrium riskfree rate. We find that treasury prices reflect part of the impact instantaneously, but intermediaries rely on their customer order flow in the 15 minutes after the announcement to discover the full impact. We show that this customer flow...

We develop a new likelihood-based approach to signing trades in the absence of quotes. This approach is equally efficient as the existing Markov-chain Monte Carlo methods, but more than ten times faster. It can address the occurrence of multiple trades at the same time and allows for analysis of...

Market integration is studied for Dutch stocks cross-listed at the NYSE.Trading starts in Amsterdam and ends in New York with a one-hour overlap.Both markets are not perfectly integrated in that they can be viewed as onemarket with the well-documented U-shape in volatility, volume and...

In this paper we introduce a new methodology to price American put options under stochastic interestrates. The method is a combination of an analytic approach and a binomial tree approach. We constructa binomial tree for the forward risk adjusted tree and calculate analytically the expected...

Signed customer order flow correlates with permanent price changes in equity and nonequity markets. We exploit macro news events in the 30Y treasury futures market to identify causality from customer flow to riskfree rates. We remove the positive feedback trading part and establish that, in the...