Cuthbertson, Keith; Bredin, Don - In: Journal of Forecasting 20 (2001) 6, pp. 391-403
Using a number of long-term maturities and monthly data, 1989-97, we provide a number of tests of the expectations hypothesis (EH) of the term structure. The main insight in this paper is the use of the excess holding period return to provide a proxy for a possible time-varying term premium....