A new approach recently suggested by Hamilton for flexible parametric inference in nonlinear models is examined through simulation studies. Hamilton suggests a new test for neglected nonlinearity and we compare it with the neural network test, Tsay's test, White's dynamic misspecification test,...

The paper considers the task of selecting a flexible nonlinear model which can be used as a baseline model. The baseline model may be used as a testing ground for more structural models which are congruent with economic theory. From the limited empirical evidence obtained here it is tentatively...

In this paper a new GARCH–M type model, denoted the GARCH-AR, is proposed. In particular, it is shown that it is possible to generate a volatility-return trade-off in a regression model simply by introducing dynamics in the standardized disturbance process. Importantly, the volatility in the...

This paper studies how decentralization of wage bargaining from sector to firm level influences wage levels and wage dispersion. We use a detailed panel data set covering a period of decentralization in the Danish labor market. The decentralization process provides exogenous variation in the...

In heterogeneous treatment effect models with endogeneity, identification of the LATE typically relies on the availability of an exogenous instrument monotonically related to treatment participation. We demonstrate that a strictly weaker local monotonicity condition identifies the LATEs on...

This research illuminates the historical development and clustering of creative activity in the United States. Census data is used to identify creative occupations (i.e., artists, musicians, authors, actors) and data on prominent creatives, as listed in a comprehensive biographical compendium....