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This paper aims at contributing to the literature in three ways: First, we re-evaluate the performance of popular Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimation methods on freight rates amid the adverse economic consequences of the recent financial and sovereign debt crisis. Secondly we provide a detailed and...
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Which statistical model delivers the best possible forecasts of either spot - or forward shipping freight rates? In which direction runs the causality? Do FFA's provide a competitive edge to those using them? Daily data for the Baltic Exchange Panamax routes P2A and P3A from 2005 to 2009 is...
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