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This paper investigates the benefits of jointly using several realized measures in predicting daily price volatility … significantly increases the accuracy of volatility forecasts, while in forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall at different …
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This paper studies the volatility of electricity spot prices in the Nordic market (Sweden, Finland, Denmark, and Norway …, we provide strong evidence of nonlinear regime shifts in the volatility dynamics of these prices. Using in … importance of incorporating regime shifts into volatility models for accurately assessing and mitigating risks associated with …
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We use Monte Carlo analysis to examine the potential of increased renewable generation to provide a hedge against variability in energy prices and costs. Fuel costs, electricity demand and wind generation are allowed to vary and a unit commitment and economic dispatch algorithm is employed to...
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