Using daily data for 1995–99, this paper estimates a simple forward looking model of the exchange rate to show that foreign exchange interventions have, on the whole, had small but persistent effects on the yen-dollar rate. Contrary to conventional wisdom, sterilized interventions have...

This paper considers the solution of nonlinear rational expectations models resulting from the optimality conditions of a finite-horizon intertemporal optimisation problem satisfying Bellman's principle of optimality (and possibly involving inequality constraints). A backward recursive procedure...

This paper presents an empirical examination of the importance of hysteresis in international trade. An econometric model of export determination is developed where the presence of sunk costs causes discontinuous behaviour and hysteresis so that an individual exporter’s decision to stay in or...

A broad set of possible determinants of private saving behavior is examined using data for a large sample of industrial and developing countries. Both time-series and cross-sectional estimates are obtained. Results suggest that there is a partial offset on private saving of changes in public...