This study is a pioneer in academic literature to investigate the relationship between Valentine’s Day and stock market returns of major economies around the world. The findings indicate that stock returns are higher on the days when Valentine’s Day is approaching than on other days for most...

This paper provides a first attempt in the literature to forecast the future evolution of income inequality with the demographic projections. The contribution of this paper is twofold. First, we establish a framework to quantify and analyze the effects of population ageing and the secular upward...

This paper develops a new investor sentiment index for the Chinese stock market. The index is constructed via the principal component approach (PCA), taking six important economic and market factors into consideration. The sentiment index serves as a threshold variable in a threshold...

A growing body of threshold models has been developed over the past two decades to capture the nonlinear movement of financial time series. Most of these models, however, contain a single threshold variable only. In many empirical applications, models with two or more threshold variables are...

Conventional threshold models contain only one threshold variable. This paper provides the theoretical foundation for threshold models with multiple threshold variables. The new model is very different from a model with a single threshold variable as several novel problems arisefrom having an...

Tse and Chan (2003) investigated the relationship between property sales price and the value of commuting time without accounting for the fact that property sales price is subject to the inherent limitation of containing speculative elements. A better measure to use for such a study would be the...

The causality between the real estate and stock markets of China remains a mystery in the literature. This paper investigates the non-linear causal relationship between real estate property and stock returns in China from the perspective of conditional quantiles. The results of the quantile...

This paper examines the determinants of exchange rate regime of a country. A competing risks model (CRM) is estimated. It is found that the way a country exits a fixed exchange rate regime is affected nonlinearly by the duration of the peg. In addition, countries with a lower growth rate of...

Savin et al. (2007) and Lo et al. (2000) analyse the predictive power of head-and-shoulders (HS) patterns in the U.S. stock market. The algorithms in both studies ignore the relative position of the HS pattern in a price trend. In this paper, a filter that removes invalid HS patterns is...

This paper compares the role of macroeconomic and sector-specific factors in price movements for China and India, taking into account the features unique to developing economies. We find that fluctuations in the aggregated prices in China are more persistent than the underlying disaggregated...