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Our research aims to analyze the causal relationships in the behavior of public debt issued by peripheral member countries of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), with special emphasis on the recent episodes of crisis triggered in the eurozone sovereign debt markets since 2009. With...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177329
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225744
This paper examines the degree of export-price dispersion among European Union countries and its evolution in the recent past (1988-1999). The paper also analyses the likely impact of the European Monetary Union on export-price convergence by looking at the past experience of European countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014117829
The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the debate on the relevance of non-linear predictors of high-frequency data in foreign exchange markets. To that end, we apply nearest-neighbour (NN) predictors, inspired by the literature on forecasting in non-linear dynamical systems, to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120247
Faced with the need to adjust public pension systems to meet changing demographic, economic and social conditions, most developed countries have created government reserve funds to ensure macroeconomic sustainability. This paper aims to study the importance that this reserve fund plays in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363083
This paper empirically investigates the short and long-run impact of public debt on economic growth. We use annual data from both central and peripheral countries of the euro area (EA) for the 1961-2013 period and estimate a production function augmented with a debt stock term by applying the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947257
In this paper we analyse the effects of all sources of the accumulation of nonfinancial debt (household, corporate as well as government) on economic growth in ten euro-area countries during the 1980-2015 period. To this end, we make use of three models (a baseline, an asymmetric and a threshold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951846
We propose an Economic Stability Index (ESI) incorporating house prices and stock prices as components of the measure of the inflation rate in order to allow the European Central Bank (ECB) to achieve both price and macroeconomic stability. We use an optimisation approach to estimate target...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956120
This paper empirically investigates volatility transmission among stock and foreign exchange markets in seven major world economies during the period July 1988 to January 2015. To this end, we first perform a static and dynamic analysis to measure the total volatility connectedness in the entire...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981339
This paper examines the interconnection between four implied volatility indices representative of the investors' consensus view of expected stock market volatility at different maturities during the period January 3, 2011-May 4, 2018. To this end, we first perform a static analysis to measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910468