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Improving model-based near-term GDP forecasts by subjective forecasts : a real-time exercise for the G7 countries

Jansen, Willem Jos; Winter, Jasper de - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011447795

Improving Model-Based Near-Term GDP Forecasts by Subjective Forecasts : A Real-Time Exercise for the G7 Countries

Jansen, W. Jos - 2016

We investigate to what extent it is feasible to improve model-based near-term GDP forecasts by combining them with judgmental (quarterly) forecasts by professional analysts (Consensus survey) in a real-time setting. Our analysis covers the G7 countries over the years 1999-2013. We consider as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996988

The return of financial variables in forecasting GDP growth in the G-7

Kuosmanen, Petri; Vataja, Juuso - In: Economic change and restructuring : empirical and … 50 (2017) 3, pp. 259-277

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778412

Forecast Errors and Financial Developments

Andersen (deceased), Palle Schelde - 2013

financial markets. The empirical work presented suggests that average forecast errors are not large enough to seriously … also appears that unexpected changes in non-financial variables are the primary source of forecast errors. Nonetheless, for …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061045