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Our paper is in the spirit of Rex Bergstrom's interests and research in cyclical growth models and his meticulous attention to underlying data series. We develop a new quarterly real GDP series for post–World War II New Zealand, derive a new “benchmark” set of classical business cycle...
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The current economic expansion is one of the more enduring in New Zealand's post-war period. But is this a change from past behaviour? We examine New Zealand's post-war business cycles for the sample period 1946q1 to 2005q4, using a newly developed 60-year quarterly time series for real GDP. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005086489
We establish classical business cycles, for New Zealand's 14 regions and aggregate national activity. Regional cycles rarely die of old age but are terminated by particular events. Concordance statistic measures show significant contemporaneous associations between the New Zealand cycle and 11...
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We use unobserved components methodology to establish an Australasian common cycle, and assess the extent to which region-specific cycles of Australian states and New Zealand are additionally important. West Australian and New Zealand region-specific growth cycles have exhibited distinctively...
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There are no official quarterly real GDP estimates for New Zealand, for the period prior to 1977. We report the development of a seasonally-adjusted series for a period of more than 60 years from mid-1947, and evaluate statistical properties. The series were developed by linking quarterly...
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