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Theory predicts that life cycle saving mechanisms will cause real exchange rate variations as the age structure varies. We investigate the impact of demography on the Swedish real exchange rate, measured as the real TCW index, during 1960 to 2000. Time series regressions show that the Swedish...
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We consider the modelling of credit migration risk and the pricing of migration derivativesour approach enlarges the traditional setup where credit risk is based on default solely.We implement the Regime Shifting Markov Mixture model developed in Andersson (2007)and Andersson and Vanini (2008)...
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We consider the modelling of credit migration risk and the pricing of migrationderivatives. To construct a Point-in-Time (PIT) rating migration matrix as the underlyingvalue for derivative pricing we show first that the Affine Markov Chain models isnot sufficient to generate PIT migration...
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Macroeconomic theory predicts that variations in population cohort sizes will lead to demographically induced real exchange rate movements. While such effects have previously been established for individual countries, this paper exploits cross-sectional time series data to test the prediction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005475773
Theory predicts that life cycle saving and consumption behaviour could cause real exchange rate variations as the age structure varies. Time series regressions show that the Swedish demographic structure has significant explanatory power on the real exchange rate during 1960 to 2002. A model...
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In this thesis I develop a model for describing the dynamic behavior of Credit Migration Matrices under a Point-in-time Rating Philosophy. Characteristics of the yearly Migration Matrices following a Point-in-Time Philosophy are presented. Through the introduction of the concept of Rating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214264