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We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
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hypothesis necessarily holds in a European country like Germany where hysteretic effects may invalidate it. Inspired by the … rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co …
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