Die deutsche Wirtschaft erfuhr im zurückliegenden Winterhalbjahr einen kräftigen Rücksetzer. Als Folge der hohen Inflation schwächte sich die Nachfrage spürbar ab. Erst ab der zweiten Hälfte des laufenden Jahres dürften die Einkommen der privaten Haushalte wieder stärker zulegen als die...

For nowcasting and short-term forecasting of industrial production and GDP, business surveys are a vital source of information. They cover information of the recent past as well as developments in the near future. Whereas variations in industrial production indices potentially cover weather...

Right from the start of the European currency union, trade imbalances could be observed in the current accounts and trade balances of the euro countries. The business cycle upswing reaching into 2008 and the strong inflow of cheap money led to a strong economic expansion especially in the...

Nowadays, modelling long-term money demand is largely unambiguous. There is a vast amount of empirical evidence concerning a cointegrating relationship between money demand, some kind of interest rate and income. In contrast to this, short-run dynamics are still opaque. In the existing...