We put forward the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio (BEYR) as a criterium to dynamically allocate capital between equities and bonds on a short-term basis. Relying upon 30 years of monthly data for a large collection of countries, we use the cointegration, regime-switching and ARMA-GARCH type...

Since the 1990's run up in stock prices and subsequent crashes, the financial community has taken a dim view of the traditional valuation ratios and has instead turned its attention to a new valuation ratio: the Bond-Equity Yield Ratio (BEYR). In this paper we provide the first comprehensive,...