A widely used method in the analysis of complex econometric models is to replace the "true model" by a highly simplified aggregative one in which the variables are grouped and replaced by sums or weighted averages of the variables in each group. The analysis of the problem of choosing an...

This paper attempts to evaluate economic effects of migration into Germany on the basis of a macroeconometric disequilibrium model. Germany has the advantage of having experience with migratory movements of guestworkers. There was a tremendous infiow of those workers in the sixties as well as an...

Falsifications of survey data might result in specific statistical properties of the generated data differing from those of the surveyed population. Clustering methods have been proposed to identify potential falsifications based on such indicators. As any statistical procedure, the...

In vector autoregressive analysis confidence intervals for individual impulse responses are typically reported to indicate the sampling uncertainty in the estimation results. A range of methods are reviewed and a new proposal is made for constructing joint confidence bands, given a prespecifed...

In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird die vom Deutschen Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung in einem Gutachten vorgeschlagene ökologische Steuerreform einer kritischen Würdigung unterzogen. Die Untersuchung richtet sich zunächst auf das der positiven Analyse zugrundeliegende methodische Vorgehen und...

Gegenstand dieses Beitrags ist die aktuelle und aufgrund der Integration des Staatssektors und des Kreditmarktes nun vollständige Version des Konstanzer aggregierten Ungleichgewichtsmodells für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft für den Zeitraum von 1960 bis 1994. Nach einem kurzen Überblick...

The closing of tax loopholes is one important instrument for fiscal consolidation. We concentrate on the value added tax exemption of banking services in Germany. The potential tax revenue under full value added taxation cannot be estimated from national accounting data, as it is necessary to...