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Commercial real estate loans, in particular construction and land loans, have become a simultaneously one of the most significant sources of risk for regional and small banks while remaining one of the least understood and studied types of debt. The lack of loan-level data on land, construction,...
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Jiang et al. (2023) find that following recent monetary tightening the U.S. banking system’s market value of assets is $2.2 trillion lower than suggested by their book value, accounting for loan portfolios held to maturity. We illustrate that this decline in banks’ asset values has eroded...
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We study the credit risk of banks in Germany from lending to non-financial firms. We model changes in Expected Credit Loss, which is derived from the guidelines in the IFRS 9 accounting standard. We map the accounting model to a dataset with individual loans as the unit of observation...
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The Ministry of Finance has proposed a temporary capital requirement (risk weight floor) for commercial real estate (CRE) exposures in Norway, applicable to the largest banks. CRE is the sector where banks have historically incurred the largest losses during crises. Since CRE loan losses are low...
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