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A reappraisal of the Meese-Rogoff puzzle
Moosa, Imad A.; Burns, Kelly - In: Applied economics 46 (2014) 1/3, pp. 30-40
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354125
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003816240
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850869
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Forecasting random walks under drift instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem (contributor); Pick, Andreas (contributor) - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003711763
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Forecasting Random Walks under Drift Instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714199
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Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
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The Meese-Rogoff puzzle : what puzzle?
Moosa, Imad A.; Burns, Kelly - In: Macroeconomics : principles, applications and challenges, (pp. 35-74). 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302924
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Liquidity premiums, interest rate differentials, and nominal exchange rate prediction
Wang, Yi-Chiuan; Wu, Jyh-lin - In: Journal of forecasting 43 (2024) 1, pp. 138-158
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014443191
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Testing Long-Horizon Predictive Ability with High Persistence, and the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle
Rossi, Barbara - 2005
economic models are biased by the estimation error. When this bias is big, a random walk will forecast better, even if the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067127
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Optimizing time-series forecasts for inflation and interest rates using simulation and model averaging
Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M. - 2008
Motivated by economic-theory concepts - the Fisher hypothesis and the theory of the term structure - we consider a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009735355