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This paper outlines a simple Bayesian methodology for estimating tax and spending multipliers in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. After forming priors about the parameters of the model and the relevant shock, we used the model to exactly match only one data point: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014201080
We estimate state-dependent government spending multipliers for the United States. We use a Factor-Augmented Interacted Vector Autoregression (FAIVAR) model. This allows us to capture the time-varying monetary policy characteristics including the recent zero interest rate lower bound (ZLB)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209159
Fiscal multipliers provide a way of quantifying the GDP gain for a given (discretionary) fiscal policy intervention. I compute government consumption multipliers for New Zealand, in normal times and when monetary policy is constrained at the effective lower bound, using an estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014533165
This paper analyzes the implications of distortionary taxation and debt financing for optimal government spending policy in a sticky-price economy where the nominal interest rate is subject to the zero lower bound constraint. Regardless of the type of tax available and the initial debt level,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020784
multiplier nontrivially when the policy rate is constrained at the zero lower bound (ZLB). In the economy with policy inertia … the recession via expectations. In our baseline calibration, the output multiplier at the ZLB is 2.5 when the weight on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013031117
Cutting government spending on goods and services increases the budget deficit if the nominal interest rate is close to zero. This is the message of a simple but standard New Keynesian DSGE model calibrated with Bayesian methods. The cut in spending reduces output and thus — holding rates for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110218
We investigate the size of the multiplier at the ZLB in a New keynesian model. It ranges from around -0.25 to +1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251637
Cutting government spending on goods and services increases the budget defi cit if the nominal interest rate is close to zero. This is the message of a simple but standard New Keynesian DSGE model calibrated with Bayesian methods. The cut in spending reduces output and thus - holding rates for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009526845
Previous studies argue that, based on the New Keynesian framework, a fiscal stimulus financed by money creation has a strong positive effect on output under a reasonable degree of nominal price rigidities. This paper investigates the effects of implementation lag in the moneyfinanced fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011882964
multiplier of a permanent expenditure change, moving it much closer to the multiplier of temporary expenditure changes. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039135