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Monetary Conditions Indices (MCIs) are weighted averages of changes in an interest rate and an exchange rate relative to their values in a base period. A few central banks calculate MCIs for use in monetary policy. Although the Bank of England does not calculate such an index, several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017881
We follow Fuhrer (2000) in estimating via Maximum Likelihood a log-linear consumption function on UK data. In doing so we consider various habit formation assumptions. We show that a model of purely “external” habits as in Fuhrer (2000) fits the UK data remarkably well, and possibly in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017884
Industrial prices of goods and services are a function of costs of production and of the mark-up that firms apply on those costs. If these prices relate to goods that are traded internationally, they will also be influenced by the price at which those goods are exchanged in international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017888
This paper extends the existing literature on the uniqueness and stability conditions for an equilibrium under inflation-forecast-based (IFB) rules. It shows that, for a variety of New Keynesian sticky-price and sticky-inflation models, these are a function not just of the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017892
In recent years UK real wages have been growing faster than labour factor productivity, implying that the labour share has been rising. This paper looks at various definitions of the labour share and derives a measure for the UK, which appears positively correlated with the growth rate of the UK...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017894
This paper derives alternative measures of the short-run NAIRU (SRN) for the UK, the rate for unemployment at which inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the Kalman filter. Our work suggests that both structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017895
The United Kingdom is a highly open economy, and has a monetary policy strategy of targeting inflation in consumer prices. In this paper, we look at the evidence from the UK on inflation behaviour, and examine the propositions from several theoretical models about inflation dynamics in an open...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017882
The ‘new open-economy macroeconomics’ seeks to provide an improved basis for monetary and exchange-rate policy through the construction of open-economy models that feature rational expectations, optimising agents, and slowly adjusting prices of goods. This paper promotes an alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017886
In this paper we investigate the problem of selecting an optimal horizon for inflation targeting in the United Kingdom. Since there are two key ways of thinking about an optimal horizon, we look at optimal horizons for both of these interpretations. In addition, to see whether our results are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423747
Here we investigate the selection of an optimal horizon for inflation targeting in the United Kingdom. We examine each of several ways for interpreting optimal horizons. To assess robustness against model uncertainty, we derive results for a set of models „ rather than just one „ having...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005132844