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Do forecasters inform or reassure? Evaluation of the German real-time data
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2009
the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naïve forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285824
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Do forecasters inform or reassure? Evaluation of the German real-time data
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - KOF Swiss Economic Institute, Department of Management, … - 2009
the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naïve forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731500
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Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure? Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik) 55 (2009) 4, pp. 269-294
the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naïve forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784854
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Do forecasters inform or reassure? Evaluation of the German real-time data
Kholodilin, Konstantin Arkadievich; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2009
the least reliable, whereas real GDP and real private consumption data are the most reliable. In addition, early forecasts … forecasts of all the variables seem to be no more accurate than naive forecasts based on the historical mean of the final data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324268
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Geben Konjunkturprognosen eine gute Orientierung?
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: DIW Wochenbericht 76 (2009) 13, pp. 207-213
Die vorliegende Bewertung der Treffgenauigkeit von Prognosen sowie von vorläufigen amtlichen Berechnungen zur wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung in Deutschland zeigt, dass frühe Prognosen nicht nur sehr ungenau sind, sondern auch systematisch zu optimistisch ausfallen. Die mehr als ein Jahr im...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601977
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Geben Konjunkturprognosen eine gute Orientierung?
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: DIW Wochenbericht 76 (2009) 13, pp. 207-213
Die vorliegende Bewertung der Treffgenauigkeit von Prognosen sowie von vorläufigen amtlichen Berechnungen zur wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung in Deutschland zeigt, dass frühe Prognosen nicht nur sehr ungenau sind, sondern auch systematisch zu optimistisch ausfallen. Die mehr als ein Jahr im...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005018762
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Real-Time Information Content of Macroeconomic Data and Uncertainty: An Application to the Euro Area
Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2014
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420867
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Real-time macroeconomic data and uncertainty
Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2015
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341024
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Real-Time Information Content of Macroeconomic Data and Uncertainty: An Application to the Euro Area
Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - Fachbereich Sozialökonomie, Universität Hamburg - 2014
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941604
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Real-time information content of macroeconomic data and uncertainty : an application to the Euro area
Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2014
Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010425751