Die Prognose, ob ein Unternehmen fortbestehen wird oder nicht, hat weitreichende Konsequenzen für Eigentümer, Gläubiger und Arbeitnehmer der Gesellschaft. In Abhängigkeit von dem Prognoseergebnis sind das Vermögen und die Schulden in der Bilanz und in einem etwaigen Überschuldungsstatus...

We investigate shifts in correlation patterns among international equity returns at the market level as well as the industry level. We develop a novel bivariate GARCH model for equity returns with a smoothly time- varying correlation and then derive a Lagrange Multiplier statistic to test the...

This paper presents a model on contagion in nancial markets. We use a bank run framework as a mechanism to initiate a crisis and argues that liquidity crunch and imperfect information are the key culprits for a crisis to be contagious. The model proposes that a crisis is more likely to be...

This paper studies relationship lending in a framework where the cost of switching banks measures the degree of banking competition. The relationship lender’s (insider bank’s) informational advantage creates a lock-in effect, which is at its height when the switching cost is infinitesimal....

This paper presents a simple discrete time model for valuing real options. A short proof of optimal exercise rules for the standard problems in the real options theory is given in the binomial and trinomial models, and more generally, when the underlying uncertainty is modelled as a random walk...

This paper presents a descriptive analysis of the primary and secondary market for Finnish treasury bonds. The paper focuses on three issues. First, we report basic descriptive statistics such as auction volumes and secondary market yields and volumes. Second, we estimate the revenues earned by...

After a brief review of option pricing theory, we introduce various methods proposed for extracting the statistical information implicit in options prices. Among the methods discussed are: lognormal Edgeworth expansions, cumulant expansions, Hermite polynomial expansions, nonparametric kernel...

Multiproduct optimal hedging is compared to alternative hedging strategies as applied to a Midwestern cattle feeder. One-period feeding margin hedge ratios are estimated using weekly cash and futures price data from a simulation of a custom feedlot for 1983-1995. Hedge ratios are estimated using...

We reformulate the classic CSV model of financial contracting from Townsend (1979) and Gale & Hellwig (1985) to tackle criticisms raised against it voiced by Hart (1995), such as lack of optimal behavior at the repayment stage and an inability to allow for outside equity. As a result, we obtain...

Based on Jarrow-Yildirim model for inflation derivatives, this note propose an explicit formula for option on inflation bonds. The formula is similar to the one for coupon-bond option in the HJM model.