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Because of their tractability and their natural interpretations in term of market quantities, Hawkes processes are nowadays widely used in high-frequency finance. However, in practice, the statistical estimation results seem to show that very often, only nearly unstable Hawkes processes are able...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011200035
We derive the joint density of a Skew Brownian motion, its last visit to the origin, local and occupation times. The result is applied to option pricing in a two valued local volatility model and in a displaced diffusion model with constrained volatility.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011200036
A new mathematical model for the Black-Scholes equation is proposed to forecast option prices. This model includes new interval for the price of the underlying stock as well as new initial and boundary conditions. Conventional notions of maturity time and strike prices are not used. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011200037
For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the agents' exposure risk and the systemic risk in the market. Risk is measured by Value-at-Risk or Conditional Tail Expectation. We assume Pareto tails for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011200038
We consider the Heston-CIR stochastic-local volatility model in the context of foreign exchange markets, which contains both a stochastic and a local volatility component for the exchange rate combined with the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics for the domestic and foreign interest rates. We study a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201733
This brief manuscript provides an introduction to L\'evy processes and their applications in finance as the random process that drives asset models. Characteristic functions and random variable generators of popular L\'evy processes are presented in R.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201734
In this article we use the Mean-Variance Model in order to measure the current market state. In our study we take the approach of detecting the overall alignment of portfolios in the spin picture. The projection to the ground-states enables us to use physical observables in order to describe the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011201735
We present the Shortfall Deviation Risk (SDR), a risk measure that represents the expected loss that occur with certain probability penalized by the dispersion of results worse than such expectation. The SDR combines the Expected Shortfall (ES) and the Shortfall Deviation (SD), which we also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011202948
The asymptotic distribution of the Markowitz portfolio is derived, for the general case (assuming fourth moments of returns exist), and for the case of multivariate normal returns. The derivation allows for inference which is robust to heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation of moments up to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011202949
We consider a contracting problem in which a principal hires an agent to manage a risky project. When the agent chooses volatility components of the output process and the principal observes the output continuously, the principal can compute the quadratic variation of the output, but not the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011202950