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According to economic theory, a capital inflows reversal--the sudden stop-- has a significant negative effect on economic growth. This article investigates the direct impact of current account reversals on growth in Central and Eastern European countries. Two steps to conduct the analysis are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005754231
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005758235
According to economic theory, the capital inflows reversal – so-called sudden stop – has a significant negative effect on economic growth. This paper investigates the direct impact of current account reversals on growth in Central and Eastern European countries. Two steps to conduct the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556614
This paper attempts to carry out a study of relative importance of anticipated and unanticipated external crises for the dynamics of economic growth. The estimations are carried out within a two equation system capturing the possibility of a common shock to external crises and growth. The effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556633
An open economy New Keynesian policy model for Australia is estimated in this study. We investigate how important external shocks are as a source of macroeconomic fluctuations when compared to domestic ones. The results of our analysis suggest that the Australian business cycle and domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789501
This paper attempts to estimate possible losses in macroeconomic stabilization due to a move from inflation to exchange rate targeting on an example of the Czech Republic. The authors use an estimated New Keynesian policy model, general inflation and exchange rate targeting rules, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835692
This paper attempts to quantify possible negative effects of external crises on output in emerging market economies. The external crises considered are the current account reversals and currency crises. The direct effect (on GDP growth) and the indirect effect (through growth determinants) of an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005117129
This article re-emphasizes the link from structural policies to enhanced macroeconomic stabilization using a small structural model estimated on quarterly data for Macedonia and Slovakia over 1995-2007. The success of macroeconomic stabilization, typically in the hands of monetary policy, is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498746
Starting from the constraints and incentives that cause countries to issue debt in foreign currency, this paper provides an overview of policy approaches for choosing the optimal currency structure of sovereign foreign-currency debt. The objective of sovereign debt managers generally includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008529277
The behavioural equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) model of the Czech koruna is derived in this paper and estimated by three methods suitable for non-stationary time series. The considered potential determinants of the real equilibrium exchange rate are the productivity differential, the interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119429