Commodity futures market efficiency has commonly been investigated in the standard I(1)-I(0) cointegration framework and it has provided inconclusive and conflicting results. However, recent empirical studies have found that the spot-futures basis is a fractionally integrated or long memory...

This study employs daily data for 14 commodities and three financial assets 1990–2009 to explore the impact of the time series properties of the futures‐spot basis and the cost of carry on forward market unbiasedness. The main result is that the basis of 16 assets exhibits both long memory...

We examine the forward premium anomaly at horizons of 1 month to 10 years. To overcome the data overlap problem, the estimation procedure used is a heteroscedastic and autocorrelation consistent bootstrap estimation procedure. Our point estimates and bootstrap p-values show that the anomaly...

The focus in this paper is on the time series dynamics of the basis for commodity futures. These have special interest since regulation of commodity markets is much laxer than is typical for stock markets. However, although such futures contracts have been traded for several decades, they have...

This paper provides the first comprehensive study of the horizon effect in tests of the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis. It estimates Fama regressions employing 1-month through to 10-year horizon data for the five most heavily traded US dollar currency pairs pre-crisis 1980–2006. In...