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The paper considers an agent who must choose an action today under uncertainty about the consequence of any chosen action but without having in mind a complete list of all the contingencies that could influence outcomes. She conceives of some relevant (subjective) contingencies but she is aware...
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Existing models in stochastic continuous-time settings assume that beliefs are represented by a probability measure. As illustrated by the Ellsberg Paradox, this feature rules out a priori any concern with ambiguity. This paper formulates a continuous-time intertemporal version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005503965
This paper models an agent in an infinite horizon setting who does not update according to Bayes' Rule, and who is self-aware and anticipates her updating behavior when formulating plans. Choice-theoretic axiomatic foundations are provided. Then the model is specialized axiomatically to capture...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808122
This paper describes a pure-exchange, continuous-time economy with two heterogeneous agents and complete markets. A novel feature of the economy is that agents perceive some security returns as ambiguous in the sense often attributed to frank Knight. The equilibrium is described completely in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808127
This paper axiomatizes an intertemporal version of multiple-ptiors utility. A central axiom is dynamic consistency, which leads to a recursive structure for utility, to 'rectangular' sets of priors and to prior-by-prior Bayesian updating as the updating rule for such sets of priors. It is argued...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005808194
Living with risk can lead to anticipatory feelings such as anxiety or hopefulness. Such feelings can a¤ect the choice between lotteries that will be played out in the future - choice may be motivated not only by the (static) risks involved but also by the desire to reduce anxiety or to promote...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005698192