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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011542981
This paper considers whether institutional factors, in this instance electoral systems and procedures, affect Latin American countries` fiscal performance as measured by the size of the public sector, fiscal deficits, the size of the public debt, and the degree of procyclality of fiscal policy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543001
This paper shows that the Russian 1998 crisis had a big impact on capital flows to Emerging Market Economies, EMs, especially in Latin America, and that the impact of the Russian shock differs quite markedly across EMs. To illustrate this statement, we compare the polar cases of Chile and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467532
We offer an alternative explanation for the fall of Argentina's Convertibility Program based on the country's vulnerability to Sudden Stops in capital flows. Sudden Stops are typically accompanied by a substantial increase in the real exchange rate that breaks havoc in countries that are heavily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468870
In the context of perfect foresight, intertemporal optimizing, and a cash-in-advance model, this paper studies the dynamics of an inconsistent exchange rate-based stabilization policy that fixes the exchange rate without an underlying fiscal adjustment to ensure that the exchange rate policy is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014066136
Several generations of economists have analyzed the relationship between fiscal policy and the business cycle. How is fiscal policy actually conducted over the business cycle? From a public policy point of view, the interpretation based on credit market imperfections calls for ensuring that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012556505
collapse and recovery phase of output collapses that coincide with systemic sudden stops, defined as periods of skyrocketing aggregate bond spreads and large capital flow reversals. Our findings indicate the presence of a very similar pattern across different episodes: output recovers with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466567
Using a sample of emerging markets that are integrated into global bond markets, we analyse the collapse and recovery phase of output collapses that coincide with systemic sudden stops, defined as periods of skyrocketing aggregate bond spreads and large capital flow reversals. Our findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012711371
Based on a sample of 56 countries, we find that while fiscal policy in the G-7 countries appears to be broadly consistent with Barro's tax smoothing proposition, in developing countries government spending and taxes are highly procyclical (i.e., government spending rises and taxes fall during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471277
This paper explores the links between institutional arrangements and fiscal performance in" Latin America. We consider four measures of fiscal performance, namely expenditures, the size of fiscal deficits and debt, and the response of fiscal policy to business" fluctuations; and two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472458