The Following Paper Extends the Idea of Monte-Carlo Simulation to the Analysis of Future Population Development in the German Context. in a Disaggregate Model We Distinguish Among German and Other Ethnic Groups Because of Their Different Fertility Rates, and According to Sex and Age. the Results...

Dans la Lignee des Modeles Starima ( Space Time Autoregressive and Integrated Moving Average) Initialement Proposee Lar les Auteurs A.D. Cliff et J.K. Ord (1975C), on Considere Ici une Generalisation du Modele Sar (1) (Shema Spatial Autoregressif D'ordre 1) Applique aux N Residus D'une...

Un Test de la Stabilite Structurelle des Parametres Estimee Par la Methode des Moments Generalisee (Mmg) Est Presente. le Test Est Predictif, Base Sur L'examen de Previsions Sur un Sous-Echantillon le Test S'applique Sur une Grande Variete de Modeles D'inference Dynamiques, Modeles D'equations...

For Many Years, Economists and Actuaries Have Studied Multiperiod Insurance Contracts Independently and Differently. This Paper Presents a First Empirical Economic Study on Moral Hazard and Experience Rating While Making Reference to Previous Empirical Actuarial Studies. the First Objective Is...

The Purpose of This Paper Is to Extend the Pareto Optimum Theory to the Case of a Temporary Framework

We examine the maximal-element rationalizability of choice functions with arbitrary do-mains. While rationality formulated in terms of the choice of greatest elements according to a rationalizing relation has been analyzed relatively thoroughly in the earlier litera-ture, this is not the case...

A group of agents participate in a cooperative enterprise producing a single good. Each participant contributes a particular type of input; output is nondecreasing in these contributions. How should it be shared? We analyze the implications of the axiom of Group Monotonicity: if a group of...

In an Important Study Published in 1982, Newhouse, Williams, Bennett and Schwartz (Nwbs Hereafter) Analysed the Geographical Distribution of Physicians Using Us Data and Emphasized That the Physician's Ability to Create Demand Is Neither Necessary Nor Sufficient to Yield a Prediction of...