This paper estimates potential GDP growth and output gaps for the period 1986-2007 using three different methodologies: (i) production function, (ii) Kalman filter proxy (univariate and multivariate) and (iii) structural VAR . The output gap estimates show a high degree of mutual consistency....

To estimate the neutral real interest rate for Chile, we use a variety of methods that can be classified into three categories: those derived from economic theory, the neutral rate implicit in financial assets, and statistical procedures using macroeconomic data. We conclude that the neutral...

The aim of this work is to elaborate a variety of indexes of economic activity tendency from the original disaggregated series that compose the monthly index of economic activity, Imacec. Following similar statistical techniques to the ones used to elaborate core inflation series, it is hoped...