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Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by inflation and interest rate expectations as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745369
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by inflation and interest rate expectations as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853171
We present a tractable, linear model for the simultaneous pricing of stock and bond returns that incorporates stochastic risk aversion. In this model, analytic solutions for endogenous stock and bond prices and returns are readily calculated. After estimating the parameters of the model by GMM,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136629
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We identify the economic factors employing structural and non-structural vector autoregressive models for economic state variables such as interest rates, (expected) inflation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011617371
This paper examines the correlation between stock and bond returns. It first documents that the major trends in stock-bond correlation for G7 countries follow a similar reverting pattern in the past forty years. Next, an asset pricing model is employed to show that the correlation of stock and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368989
Existing research discards domestic equities as inflation hedge, yet, to the best of my knowledge, overlooks international equities. I show that international equities hedge against inflation level and inflation changes more effectively than domestic equities. The protection is stronger for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105872
This paper studies the impact of changes in the dynamic of correlation coefficients between asset returns on portfolio choices. Using weekly data from February 2002 to October 2011 on four different European asset classes, we obtain three main results. Firstly, we show that the 2007-2009 global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088477
The position of countries in a network of external portfolio investments provides a novel macroeconomic characteristic to explain violations of uncovered interest rate parity. I derive a network centrality measure, where central countries are highly integrated with key suppliers of tradeable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015211361
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985503
We sort currencies by countries' consumption growth over the past four quarters. Currency portfolios of countries experiencing consumption booms have higher Sharpe ratios than those of countries going through a consumption-based recession. A carry strategy that goes short in countries that are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999