Showing 1 - 10 of 121,715
Economists have traditionally viewed futures prices as fully informative about future economic activity and asset prices. We argue that open interest could be more informative than futures prices in the presence of hedging demand and limited risk absorption capacity in futures markets. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010617611
Evidence from a large and growing empirical literature strongly suggests that there have been changes in inflation and … structural analysis, there is little evidence on their usefulness in forecasting UK output growth, inflation and the short … models in forecasting output growth, inflation and a short rate. We find that allowing for time-varying parameters can lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106251
wealth. Domestic price inflation is affected by imported inflation including currency depreciation (a pass through effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215622
Background: Hedging against inflation assumes instruments such as gold, stocks, fixed income securities, and real … estate. There still exists a lack of appropriate strategy to hedge against inflation. Objectives: This paper examines the … possibilities for hedging against inflation in Croatia offered by the Zagreb Stock Exchange indices. Methods/Approach: Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325399
for Swedish inflation over the period 1980-2014. Three measures of inflation are considered –– headline inflation …, underlying inflation, GDP deflator inflation, in addition to different activity variables, various econometric specifications and … instability, in general, the Phillips curve models improve inflation forecasts against the random walk benchmark for both headline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981015
inflation rates of Turkey and propose a new weighting scheme, the time-varying simple weighting method. Our guiding principle … prospective credibility of the inflation-targeting regime of the central bank of the Republic of Turkey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124997
Inflation is defined as an increase in the general price level of goods and services within a period of time. For any … economic agent to formulate policy, it must taken into consideration inflation and the aim of this study is to use ARIMA model … to predict inflation in Ghana. In order to fulfill this objective, monthly inflation variable was used to build the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108858
Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity are analyzed within a class of extended Phillips … models that describe changing patterns in low and high frequencies and backward as well as forward inflation expectation … frequencies are carefully modeled. Modeling inflation expectations using survey data and adding level shifts and stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088790
Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity, measured as marginal costs, are modeled within a …. Forward as well as backward looking expectation mechanisms for inflation are incorporated and their relative importance … evaluated. Survey data on expected inflation are introduced to strengthen the information in the likelihood. Use is made of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063479
applied to quarterly and monthly US inflation in an empirical study. We find that the persistence of quarterly inflation has … and density forecasts for monthly US inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924242