A unit root test is usually carried out by using the regression test introduced by Dickey and Fuller (1979). Under the null hypothesis the series should be a random walk. But a non-stationary series can usually be decomposed into a random walk and a stationary component. This is what is done in...

We show that semiparametric adaptive maximum likelihood estimators have desirable robustness properties when the innivations in a location parameter model are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent. We show that such estimators have asymptotic covariance matrices equal to the inverse of...

We consider truncated processes, both in discrete and continuous time, and study their dynamic properties. When the underlying process is a diffusion process, we derive the infinitesimal generator of its truncated counterpart. This result is the basis for the estimation of the drift and...

This working paper documents an econometric model for detecting turning points in the Danish economy in real time. The model is a mixedfrequency model using both monthly and quarterly data, which can be estimated on an unbalanced panel of data and be updated immediately as data comes through....