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The classical theory about foreign exchange rate explains its fluctuations as the resulting of a random walk motion. In this paper, such a theory is put into question by performing Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman's (1987) test on the Austrian Schilling - US Dollars exchange rate for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572001
Non-stationarity of the real exchange rate is inconsistent with purchasing power parity as a long run equilibrium. This paper applies parametric and non-parametric techniques to data from a trade weighted index to analyse the time series properties of Australia's real exchange rate. In contrast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005587777
Quantile autoregression is used to explore asymmetries in the adjustment process of pair wise real exchange rate between the Italian lire, French franc, Deutsch mark, and the British pound. Based on the best specification for each quantile we construct predicted conditional density functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005029963
The classical theory about foreign exchange rate explains its fluctuations as the resulting of a random walk motion. In this paper, such a theory is put into question by performing Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman's (1987) test on the Austrian Schilling - US Dollars exchange rate for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291922
This study considers the long memory and fractional integration in the range-based volatilities across 30 currencies against USD. Graphical analysis of the autocorrelation function at long lags and pole near zero frequencies in the periodogram suggests the existence of fractional integration. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015271520
We investigate the role of jumps in transmitting volatility between foreign exchange markets (Engle, Ito, and Lin, 1990; Melvin and Peiers Melvin, 2003; Cai, Howorka, and Wongswan, 2008). We show that recently developed estimators have very different implications for the impact of jumps on exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951615
This research paper presents statistical comparisons between two methods that are commonly used to estimate option implied Risk-Neutral Densities (RND). These are: 1) mixture of lognormals (MXL); and, 2) volatility function technique (VFT). The former is a parametric method whilst the latter is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009143772
We offer a closer look at the frequency distribution of nominal price changes in the foreign exchange markets for a sample of 10 European exchange-rate pairs on the basis of a unique quarterly data set spanning 273 years. Our analysis clearly illustrates the risk of seriously underestimating the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743815
This article examines changes in the exchange rate expectations associated with capital controls and banking regulations in a group of emerging countries that implemented these measures to control the adverse effects of sudden capital flows on their currencies. The evidence suggests that for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009634530