We investigate the economic importance of modeling non-linearities in the dynamics of exogenous processes on the implied moments of endogenous variables in the context of the consumption-based asset pricing model. For this purpose, we model the endowment process alternatively as a linear...

We search for time-varying predictable components in monthly excess stock index returns over the risk free rates in the G7 countries. The predictable components provide an estimate of the expected excess returns. Our unobserved components model improves on Conrad and Kaul (1988) by taking into...

We develop a framework in which information about firm value is noisily observed. Investors are then faced with a signal extraction problem. Solving this would enable them to probabilistically infer the fundamental value of the firm and, hence, price its stocks. If the innovations driving the...

We study the constant discount rate present value model for stock pricing in a stochastic setting where the exogenous dividend stream is modeled as a random walk with innovations drawn from the family of stable distributions. We derive an exact analytical solution for the fundamental stock...

We study alternative models for capturing abrupt structural changes (level shifts) in a times series. The problem is confounded by the presence of transient outliers. We compare the performance of non-Gaussian time-varying parameter models and multiprocess mixture models within a Monte Carlo...

We investigate whether business cycle dynamics in seven industrialized countries (the G7) are characterized by asymmetries in conditional mean. We provide evidence on this issue using a variety of time series models. Our approach is fully parametric. Our testing strategy is robust to any...

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between psychopathy and its underlying traits and financial risk and time preferences. Design/methodology/approach: The authors measure risk and time preferences using both the cumulative prospect theory and quasi-hyperbolic time...

This article proposes and tests a convenient, easy to use closed-form solution for the pricing of a European Call option where the underlying asset is subject to upward and downward jumps displaying separate distributions and probabilities of occurrence. The setup presented in this article lays...