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joint impact of duration and microstructure variables on the returns volatility in the months before the event. The analysis …. Our results suggested that the effect of information on the returns volatility, as measured by several economic and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010582646
This paper studies dynamics of endogenous business cycles and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy. Without … observed high volatility of nominal exchange rates compared with that of real/domestic variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001712370
We consider a gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) approach to predict large S&P 500 price drops from a set of 150 technical, fundamental and macroeconomic features. We report an improved accuracy of GBDT over other machine learning (ML) methods on the S&P 500 futures prices. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236548
setter in the setting of XAMS improves market efficiency while does not significantly influence price volatility of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059843
This paper investigates price volatility and spillover effects in the Nordic electricity wholesale markets, comprising … carbon prices on volatility spillovers. The study employs a rich dataset of 107,352 hourly prices spanning from January 2010 … volatility interactions among the four Nordic markets, contributing to the scarce literature on volatility in this market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343891
not only past performance and volatility, we include additional contextual information such as macro and risk appetite … financial mathematics, namely net performance, Sharpe and Sortino ratios, maximum drawdown, maximum drawdown over volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230350
This paper studies dynamics of endogenous business cycles and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy. Without … exhibit a higher volatility than other prices. The numerical analysis shows examples which confirm the typical empirically … observed high volatility of nominal exchange rates compared with that of real/domestic variables. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538984
We seek to explain the economic volatility of the last 6 years, in particular the rapid expansion and contraction of … determined - the knowledge sector - and the other with constant returns to scale. We introduce a new measure of volatility of … volatility then other sectors. We validate the main results on US macro economic data of real GDP by industry (2-3 digits SIC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012717092
This paper studies dynamics of endogenous business cycles and exchange rate volatility in a small open economy. Without … exhibit a higher volatility than other prices. The numerical analysis shows examples which confirm the typical empirically … observed high volatility of nominal exchange rates compared with that of real/domestic variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320345
The focus of this paper is on the study of the drivers of a cross market arbitrage profit. Many papers have investigated the risk of trading arbitrage opportunities and the empirical existence of these events at the high frequency level for different markets. But none of the previous work has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015222051