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) funding in isolation. We also find strong evidence of global contagion: although global waves originate in developed countries …, emerging markets’ funding is much more affected. We illustrate this finding by deriving “contagion maps” showing where … contagion spreads and with what intensity. In general, our results suggest that “push” effects from advanced market investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709029
The scarcity of up-to-date data is a meaningful constraint in the analysis of capital flows, especially for Emerging Markets (EMs). Indeed, the most commonly used source of cross-country data on capital flows is the Balance of Payments (BoP) statistics collected by the International Monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050653
, typically triggering financial crises. The latest financial crisis in the euro zone (EZ) seems to support this point of view …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051896
capital mobility, sudden stops of capital inflows may occur, typically triggering financial crises. The latest financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051898
Capital flows data from Balance of Payments statistics often lag 3-6 months, which renders timely surveillance and policy deliberation difficult. To address the tension, we propose two coincident composite indicators for capital flows that improve upon existing proxies. We find that the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110085
This paper analyses volatility, persistence, predictability, correlation, comovement (or contagion risk) and sudden … correlations and risks of contagion are strong within all capital flow components …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956671
Developing countries are constrained in financing current account deficits as real capital mobility is still far from perfect. At the same time, capital flows to these countries proved to be extremely volatile. The paper argues that the long-term problem of "too little" should not be confused...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495541
We empirically test Gabaix and Maggiori (2015)’s prediction that currencies are repriced by the country’s external capital dependence when financial constraints of FX intermediaries change. Using solvency indicators, we develop a novel intermediary constraints index capturing riskbearing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015211360
Emerging markets have gained prominence as recipients of capital flows since the onset of the financial crisis in 2008. This raises their exposure and goes hand in hand with greater dependence on external financing and heightened sensitivity to global shocks. However, some differences can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867291
volatility between RMB/USD makes no contribution to the modeling of copper carry trade position, meaning the carry traders are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020274