Identification problems arise naturally in forward-looking models when agents observe more than economists. We illustrate the problem in several New Keynesian and macro-finance models in which the Taylor rule includes a shock unseen by economists. We show that identification of the rule's...

We propose two metrics for asset pricing models and apply them to representative agent models with recursive preferences, habits, and jumps. The metrics describe the pricing kernel's dispersion (the entropy of the title) and dynamics (time dependence, a measure of how entropy varies over...

We provide a useracirc;not;quot;s guide to acirc;not;Sexoticacirc;not;? preferences: nonlinear time aggregators, departures from expected utility, preferences over time with known and unknown probabilities, risk sensitive and robust control, acirc;not;Shyperbolicacirc;not;? discounting, and...

We provide a useracirc;not;quot;s guide to acirc;not;Sexoticacirc;not;? preferences: nonlinear time aggregators, departures from expected utility, preferences over time with known and unknown probabilities, risk sensitive and robust control, acirc;not;Shyperbolicacirc;not;? discounting, and...

Prices of riskfree bonds in any arbitrage-free environment are governed by a pricing kernel: given a kernel, we can compute prices of bonds of any maturity we like. We use observed prices of multi-period bonds to estimate, in a log- linear theoretical setting, the pricing kernel that gave rise...

We use a fractional difference model to reconcile two features of yields on US government bonds with modem asset pricing theory: the persistence of the short rate and variability of the long end of the yield curve. We suggest that this process might arise from the response of the heterogeneous...