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mix of forecasting models, like „medium-term” ones and „long-run” models. In this respect three alternative models are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827575
The paper analyzes the dynamics and structure of GDP in Romania during the transition period. Two simulation scenarios are proposed on the basis of a standard production function. The first simulation uses an augmented production function with FDI and exports, while the second simulation uses a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612253
models problematic. He supports the idea of developing new instruments of analysis and forecasting of social and economic … elaborated for short term forecasting of basic macroeconomic indicators. The second model is a quarterly scenario forecasting of … National Accounts. The forecasting exercises of the complex modelling are realised under two alternative scenario, an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005612212
We provide industry-level estimates of the elasticity of substitution (σ) between capital and labor in the US economy. We also estimate rates of factor-augmentation. Aggregate estimates are produced using the same data. Our empirical model comes from the first-order conditions associated with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115989
We generalize the normalized Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) production function by allowing the elasticity of substitution to vary isoelastically with (i) relative factor shares, (ii) marginal rates of substitution, (iii) capital-labor ratios, or (iv) capital-output ratios. Ensuing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014842
In general, empirical studies on economics rely on the assumption of constant capitalshare of income both at the aggregate level and at the sector level. However, there is noempirical evidence supporting the constancy of capital share at the sector level. In thispaper, using Colombian data, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509414
Growth accounting exercises point to aggregate TFP differences as the dominant source of the large cross-country income differences. In this paper, I ask which sectors account for the aggregate TFP gap between rich and poor countries. Data limitations for developing countries have led...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123967
explores various specifications of decompositions and various forecasting experiments. The result from these horse-races is … for richer forecasting specifications, the paper shows, using Bayesian model averaging techniques (BMA), that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011378362
explores various specifications of decompositions and various forecasting experiments. The result from these horse-races is … for richer forecasting specifications, the paper shows, using Bayesian model averaging techniques (BMA), that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325710
explores various specifications of decompositions and various forecasting experiments. The result from these horse-races is … for richer forecasting specifications, the paper shows, using Bayesian model averaging techniques (BMA), that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016264