We report the results of an experimental analysis of monetary policy decision-making under uncertainty. We used a large sample of economically literate undergraduate and postgraduate students from the London School of Economics to play a simple monetary policy game, both as individuals and in...

This article reports the results of an experimental analysis of monetary policy decision-making under uncertainty. The experiment used a large sample of economically literate undergraduate and postgraduate students from the London School of Economics to play a simple monetary policy game, both...

This article analyses the role of house prices in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. It is argued that house prices matter because houses can be used as collateral, against which households borrow to finance housing investment and consumption. The implication of structural change in...

This paper is a detailed study of trading patterns in the gilt market - based on all transactions in three gilts (6% Treasury 1999, 9?% Treasury 2005, and 2?% Index-linked 2016) from October 1993 to October 1994. The main finding of the paper is that order flow in the gilt market does not appear...

The Monetary Policy Committee is provided with information from options markets to quantify market uncertainty about the future course of financial asset prices. For short-term interest rates, this is shown in the Inflation Report's blue fan chart. Similar information can be obtained from a wide...

It is important for monetary policy makers to know how closely money market rates follow the policy rates they set. This paper looks at the volatility and persistence of divergences between short-term market interest rates away from policy rates. This may also offer insights into the...

There is a live debate about the role of house prices in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. Do house prices merely reflect macroeconomic conditions, or are there important feedback effects from house prices to other economic variables? We consider a general equilibrium model where...

Theoretical models of growth and trade suggest that patterns of international specialization are dynamic and evolve endogenously over time. Initial comparative advantages are either reinforced or gradually unwound with the passage of time. This paper puts forward an empirical framework for...