Ager, P.; Kappler, M.; Osterloh, S. - In: International Journal of Forecasting 25 (2009) 1, pp. 167-181
This paper analyses the performance of consensus forecasts, published by Consensus Economics, for 12 countries over the period from 1996 to 2006 regarding bias and information efficiency. A pooled approach is employed which permits the evaluation of all forecasts for each target variable over 24...