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Generating one-month-ahead systematic (beta) risk forecasts is common place in financial management. This paper evaluates the accuracy of these beta forecasts in three return measurement settings; monthly, daily and 30 minutes. It is found that the popular Fama-MacBeth beta from 5 years of...
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Analysis with high frequency returns has become a core part of modern financial econometrics. Particularly in the measurement and forecasting of variance, covariance, correlation and Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) beta. This paper studies CAPM beta measurement and forecasting with high...
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We confirmBoyd et al.'s (2005) finding that on average a surprise increase in unemployment is quot;good newsquot; for stocks during economic expansions and quot;bad newsquot; during economic contractions. Unemployment news bundles information about future interest rates, equity risk premium, and...
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This paper demonstrates that the low volatility anomaly exists in Australian stock returns. Consistent with previous literature on other countries, low realized volatility stocks earn superior risk-adjusted returns than high realized volatility stocks. Our key findings show value-weighted...
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We study the 52-week high momentum strategy in international stock markets proposed by George and Hwang (2004). This strategy produces profits in 18 of the 20 markets studied, and the profits are significant in 10 markets. The 52-week high momentum profits still exist conditional on past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712352
We examine how the use of high-frequency data impacts the portfolio optimization decision. Prior research has documented that an estimate of realized volatility is more precise when based upon intraday returns rather than daily returns. Using the framework of a professional investment manager...
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