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The notion of model-free implied volatility (MFIV), constituting the basis for the highly publicized VIX volatility index, can be hard to measure with accuracy due to the lack of precise prices for options with strikes in the tails of the return distribution. This is reflected in practice as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440033
Corridor implied volatility is obtained from model-free implied volatility by truncating the integration domain between two barriers. Empirical evidence on volatility forecasting, in various markets, points to the utility of trimming the risk-neutral distribution of the underlying stock price,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738415
Corridor implied volatility is obtained from model-free implied volatility by truncating the integration domain between two barriers. Empirical evidence on volatility forecasting, in various markets, points to the utility of trimming the risk-neutral distribution of the underlying stock price,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929908
The aim of this paper is to analyse and empirically test how to unlock volatility information from option prices. The information content of three option based forecasts of volatility: Black-Scholes implied volatility, model-free implied volatility and corridor implied volatility is addressed,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008678135
The VIX index is computed as a weighted average of SPX option prices over a range of strikes according to specific rules regarding market liquidity. It is explicitly designed to provide a model-free option-implied volatility measure. Using tick-by-tick observations on the underlying options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009644871
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476102
This study explores the effect of investor sentiment on the volatility forecasting power of option-implied information. We find that the risk-neutral skewness has the explanatory power regarding future volatility only during high sentiment periods. Furthermore, the implied volatility has varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011118101
Corridor implied volatility introduced in Carr and Madan (Volatility: new estimation techniques for pricing derivatives, <CitationRef CitationID="CR14">1998</CitationRef>) and recently implemented in Andersen and Bondarenko (Volatility as an asset class, <CitationRef CitationID="CR4">2007</CitationRef>) is obtained from model-free implied volatility by truncating the integration...</citationref></citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010989275
The aim of this paper is to comprehensively compare option-based measures of volatility, with the ultimate plan of devising a new volatility index for the Italian stock market. The performance of the different implied volatility measures in forecasting future volatility is evaluated both in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010696043
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198265