This paper deals with the modelling of the global and northern and southern hemispheric anomaly temperature time series using a novel technique based on segmented trends and fractional integration. We use a procedure that permits us to estimate linear time trends and orders of integration at...

This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional approaches based on I(0) stationary or I(1) (integrated and/or cointegrated) models, we use the fractional integration framework. In doing so, we allow for a more careful study of the...

This paper examines the robustness of fractional integration estimates to different data frequencies. We show by means of Monte Carlo experiments that if the number of differences is an integer value (e.g., 0 or 1) there is no distortion when data are collected at wider intervals; however, if it...

In this paper we study the suitability of the CAPM to the Spanish Stock Market Interconnection System (SIBE) for the period 1988-2000, by means of time series and cross-section multivariate tests. Even though there is no enough empirical evidence to reject this model, it is shown that the...

This paper employs various empirical tests in order to measure the persistence of shocks to EPS for the S&P 500 index. Within the I(0)/I(1) paradigm the empirical evidence rejects the I(1) specification, supporting instead a trend-stationary representation. When fractional orders of integration...

A general procedure for fractional integration and structural breaks at unknown points in time is used, which allows for different orders of integration and deterministic components in each subsample. First, the procedure is extended to the non-linear case, and is showed by means of Monte Carlo...

In this article we propose a new approach that permits us to simultaneously test unit and fractional roots at the long run and the seasonal frequencies. We examine the industrial production indexes in four Latin American countries (Brazil, Argentina, Colombia and Mexico), using new statistical...

We show in this article that fractionally integrated univariate models for GDP may lead to a better replication of business cycle characteristics. We firstly show that the business cycle features are clearly affected by the degree of integration as well as by the other short run components of...

The sustainability of fiscal deficits has received in recent years increasing attention from economists. Empirical work has concentrated on both the univariate properties of debt and the cointegration properties of public revenues and expenditures. In this paper, we examine if sustainability of...

We propose in this article the use of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new statistic, based on the score principle, is developed to simultaneously test both the order of integration of the seasonal...