Similar Search Results

Memoirs of an indifferent trader : estimating forecast distributions from prediction markets

Berg, Joyce E.; Geweke, John; Rietz, Thomas A. - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 1 (2010) 1, pp. 163-186

Prediction markets for future events are increasingly common and they often trade several contracts for the same event. This paper considers the distribution of a normative risk-neutral trader who, given any portfolio of contracts traded on the event, would choose not to reallocate that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011719089

Memoirs of an Indifferent Trader : Estimating Forecast Distributions from Prediction Markets

Berg, Joyce E. - 2015

Prediction markets for future events are increasingly common, and they often trade several contracts for the same event. This paper considers the distribution of a normative risk-neutral trader who, given any portfolio of contracts traded on the event, would choose not to reallocate that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012707622

What makes markets predict well? : evidence from the Iowa electronic markets

Berg, Joyce E. - In: Understanding strategic interaction : essays in honor …, (pp. 444-463). 1996

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001293537

Preference reversals and induced risk preferences : evidence for noisy maximization

Berg, Joyce E.; Dickhaut, John W.; Rietz, Thomas A. - In: Journal of risk and uncertainty : JRU 27 (2003) 2, pp. 139-170

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001802686

Prediction market accuracy in the long run

Berg, Joyce E.; Nelson, Forrest D.; Rietz, Thomas A. - In: International journal of forecasting 24 (2008) 2, pp. 283-298

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764137

Results from a dozen years of election futures markets research

Berg, Joyce E.; Forsythe, Robert; Nelson, Forrest D.; … - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749857

On the performance of the lottery prodecure for controlling risk preferences

Berg, Joyce E.; Rietz, Thomas A.; Dickhaut, John W. - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749932

Searching for Google's value : using prediction markets to forecast market capitalization prior to an initial public offering

Berg, Joyce E.; Neumann, George R.; Rietz, Thomas A. - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 55 (2009) 3, pp. 348-361

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003876089

The "play-out" effect and preference reversals : evidence for noisy maximization

Berg, Joyce E.; Dickhaut, John W.; Rietz, Thomas A. - In: Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 94 (2013), pp. 160-171

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249025

Preference reversals : the impact of truth-revealing monetary incentives

Berg, Joyce E.; Dickhaut, John W.; Rietz, Thomas A. - In: Games and economic behavior 68 (2010) 2, pp. 443-468

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003976292