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<title>ABSTRACT</title> Our paper considers the channel whereby monetary policy, a federal funds rate shock, affects the dynamics of the US housing sector. The analysis uses impulse response functions obtained from a large-scale Bayesian vector autoregressive model that incorporates 143 monthly macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010972020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010935851
We use several models using classical and Bayesian methods to forecast employment for eight sectors of the US economy. In addition to using standard vector-autoregressive and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, we also augment these models to include the information content of 143 additional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010998669
This paper uses two-types of large-scale models, namely the Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) and Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (BVAR) Models based on alternative hyperparameters specifying the prior, which accommodates 267 macroeconomic time series, to forecast key macroeconomic variables of a small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368442
We implement several Bayesian and classical models to forecast housing prices in 20 US states. In addition to standard vector-autoregressive (VAR) and Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) models, we also include the information content of 308 additional quarterly series in some models. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034622
Our paper considers the channel whereby monetary policy, a Federal funds rate shock, affects the dynamics of the US housing sector. The analysis uses impulse response functions obtained from a large-scale Bayesian Vector Autoregression (LBVAR) model that incorporates 143 monthly macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036784
Our paper considers this channel whereby monetary policy, a Federal funds rate shock, affects the dynamics of the US housing sector. The analysis uses impulse response functions obtained from a large-scale Bayesian Vector Autoregression (LBVAR) model that incorporates 143 monthly macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005049464
This paper assesses the impact of monetary policy on real house price growth in South Africa using a factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR), estimated based on a large data set comprising of 246 quarterly series over the period 1980:01 to 2006:04. The results based on the impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005103356
We implement several Bayesian and classical models to forecast housing prices in 20 US states. In addition to standard vector-autoregressive (VAR) and Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) models, we also include the information content of 308 additional quarterly series in some models. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005052149
Purpose – This paper seeks to assess the impact of monetary policy on house price inflation for the nine census divisions of the US economy. Design/methodology/approach – A factor‐augmented VAR (FAVAR) model is estimated using a large data set comprising of 126 quarterly series over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014863263