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Demographic projections of future mortality rates involve a high level of uncertainty and require stochastic mortality models. The current paper investigates forward mortality models driven by a (possibly infinite-dimensional) Wiener process and a compensated Poisson random measure. A major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010847042
Finite dimensional Markovian HJM term structure models provide ideal settings for the study of term structure dynamics and interest rate derivatives where the flexibility of the HJM framework and the tractability of Markovian models coexist. Consequently, these models became the focus of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005709850
When the yield curve is modelled using an affine factor model, residuals may still contain relevant information and do not adhere to the familiar white noise assumption. This paper proposes a pragmatic way to improve out of sample performance for yield curve forecasting. The proposed adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263400
The Nelson–Siegel model is widely used in practice for fitting the term structure of interest rates. Due to the ease in linearizing the model, a grid search or an OLS approach using a fixed shape parameter are popular estimation procedures. The estimated grid search parameters, however, have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664346
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012005702
This paper examines the impact that a currency target zone has on short-term interest rates. For a number of countries in the European Monetary System, we characterize the short rate using a regime-switching model that allows fbr a differently parameterized mean-reverting square-root process in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448628
For deals denominated in a single currency, different collateralization schemes imply different accrual rates for funds posted as collateral, so that we can end up with different current accounts that accrue at different rates and their corresponding discount factors. In this paper we examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112124
We study the behavior of the long-term yield in a HJM setting for forward rates driven by Lévy processes. The long-term rates are investigated by examining continuously compounded spot rate yields with maturity going to infinity. In this paper, we generalize the model of Karoui et al. (1997) by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011011265
We proposed a continuous time ARMA known as CARMA(p,q) model for modeling the interest rate dynamics. CARMA(p,q) models have an advantage over their discrete time counterparts that they allow using Ito formulas and provide closed-form solutions for bond and bond option prices. We demonstrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805875
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364765