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Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using ensembles and Bayesian model averaging

Sloughter, J. McLean - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association : JASA 105 (2010) 489, pp. 25-35

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015136311

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

Gneiting, Tilmann; Raftery, Adrian E. - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association 102 (2007) March, pp. 359-378

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005733932

Probabilistic forecasts, calibration and sharpness

Gneiting, Tilmann; Balabdaoui, Fadoua; Raftery, Adrian E. - In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B 69 (2007) 2, pp. 243-268

Probabilistic forecasts of continuous variables take the form of predictive densities or predictive cumulative distribution functions. We propose a diagnostic approach to the evaluation of predictive performance that is based on the paradigm of "maximizing the sharpness of the predictive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005140177

Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road Maintenance

Berrocal, Veronica J.; Raftery, Adrian E.; Gneiting, Tilmann - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association 105 (2010) 490, pp. 522-537

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784121

Rejoinder

Gel, Yulia; Raftery, Adrian E.; Gneiting, Tilmann; … - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association 99 (2004) 1, pp. 588-590

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005238600

Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting: The Geostatistical Output Perturbation Method

Gel, Yulia; Raftery, Adrian E.; Gneiting, Tilmann - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association 99 (2004) 1, pp. 575-583

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005238784

Calibrated probalistic mesoscale weather field forecasting : the geostatistical output perturbation method

Gel, Yulia; Raftery, Adrian E.; Gneiting, Tilmann - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association : JASA 99 (2004) 467, pp. 575-590

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002241506

Probabilistic weather forecasting for winter road maintenance

Berrocal, Veronica J.; Raftery, Adrian E.; Gneiting, Tilmann - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association : JASA 105 (2010) 490, pp. 522-537

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015136307

Strictly proper scoring rules, prediction, and estimation

Gneiting, Tilmann - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association : JASA 102 (2007) 477, pp. 359-378

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015136309

Applications and Case Studies - Rejoinder - Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting: The Geostatistical Output Perturbation Method

Gel, Yulia; Raftery, Adrian E.; Gneiting, Tilmann; … - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association : JASA 99 (2004) 467, pp. 588-590

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10006608875