We study the tail asymptotics of the r.v. X(T) where {X(t)} is a stochastic process with a linear drift and satisfying some regularity conditions like a central limit theorem and a large deviations principle, and T is an independent r.v. with a subexponential distribution. We find that the tail...

For a random walk with negative mean and heavy-tailed increment distribution F, it is well known that under suitable subexponential assumptions, the distribution [pi] of the maximum has a tail [pi](x,[infinity]) which is asymptotically proportional to . We supplement here this by a local result...

Let [psi]i(u) be the probability of ruin for a risk process which has initial reserve u and evolves in a finite Markovian environment E with initial state i. Then the arrival intensity is [beta]j and the claim size distribution is Bj when the environment is in state j[set membership, variant]E....

In a bonus-malus system in car insurance, the bonus class of a customer is updated from one year to the next as a function of the current class and the number of claims in the year (assumed Poisson). Thus the sequence of classes of a customer in consecutive years forms a Markov chain, and most...