Nous analysons d’une part, le rôle des indicateurs macroéconomiques et des variables bancaires dans la crise bancaire survenue dans les pays de l’UEMOA. D’autre part, nous proposons un système d’alerte avancée fondé sur un modèle Logit multinomial. Nos résultats montrent que le...

We aim to assess how accurately accounting and stock market indicators predict rating changes for Asian banks. We conduct a stepwise process to determine the optimal set of early indicators by tracing upgrades and downgrades from rating agencies, as well as other relevant factors. Our results...

Using an innovative approach of following the downgrade or credit rating decisions by rating agencies, this paper develops an early-warning system of bank financial distress and critically evaluates the reliability and stability of the potential indicators or factors of banks in 13 emerging...

[fre] La concurrence accrue, la restructuration mais aussi l'harmonisation prudentielle à l'échelle internationale des conditions d'activités dans l'industrie bancaire oblige à s'interroger sur d'éventuelles spécificités de la réaction des systèmes bancaires à l'évolution des taux...

[fre] L'objet de cet article est d'apporter quelques éléments de réponse empiriques sur le rôle joué par les agences de notation dans l'exercice d'une discipline de marché accrue des banques et autres intermédiaires financiers. L'approche de l'économétrie événementielle est adoptée...

[eng] The propose of this paper is to analyse bank behaviour in Central and Eastern Europe relative to their interest margin setting. A formalisation through a framework where decisions are taken under imperfect competition and uncertainty underlines the role of credit and maturity risks and...

We examine co-movements of bank stock returns in eight East Asian countries after the 1997 crisis and attempt to determine the factors that influence them. Unlike Bautista and al (2008) who focus on a measure of the contribution of banks to systemic risk, we consider the return correlations...

This paper studies the role that can be played by the stock market in the early detection of bank financial distress. We test the additional contribution of market indicators to accounting indicators in the European case and its accuracy for opaque institutions. We show that the significance of...

This paper examines the role played by rating agencies in increasing market discipline for banks and other financial intermediaries. Using a standard event study methodology applied on a sample of European banks we first analyse the impact of rating changes on bank stock prices. Tests for the...

This paper addresses the issue of both domestic and cross border systemic risk for 8 countries in Southeast Asia (Hong Kong, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, The Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan and Thailand). We use weekly data on individual bank stock prices from 2000 to 2005 to construct bank...