In traditional thinking, an arbitrageur will trade immediately once an arbitrage opportunity appears. Is this the best strategy for the arbitrageur or it is even better to wait for the best time to trade so as to achieve the maximum profit? To answer this question, this paper studies the optimal...

We study optimal monetary policy, macro dynamics and their implications on the term structure of interest rates in a continuous-time New-Keynesian model. With a quadratic cost function and regime-dependent monetary discount rates, the time-consistent optimal monetary policy is regime-dependent...

Based on a reduced-form model of credit risk, we explore mispricing in the CDS spreads of North American companies and its economic content. Specifically, we develop a trading strategy using the model to trade out of sample market-neutral portfolios across the term structure of CDS contracts....

Dollar-denominated emerging market bonds are marketed to investors as a vehicle for gaining exposure to emerging fixed income markets while avoiding exposure to currency risk. However, the development literature suggests that dollarization of debt leads to increased probability of financial...

Motivated by an extensive literature showing that government bond yields exhibit a strong non-Markov property, in the sense that moving averages of long-lagged yields significantly improve the predictability of excess bond returns. We then develop a systematic approach of constructing non-Markov...

Coval, Jurek, and Stafford (2009, CJS hereafter) claim that senior CDX tranches, which resemble economic catastrophe bonds, are overpriced relative to index options. We show that this result is due to their problematic calibration procedure and restrictive model assumptions. A simple correction...

The computational complexity of large-scale networked evolutionary games has become a challenging problem. Based on network aggregation and pinning control methods, this paper investigates the problem of control design for strategy consensus of large-scale networked evolutionary games. The...