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This paper treats estimation in a class of new nonlinear threshold autoregressive models with both a stationary and a unit root regime. Existing literature on nonstationary threshold models has basically focused on models where the nonstationarity can be removed by differencing and/or where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052320
The classical nonstationary autoregressive models are both linear and Markov. They include unit root and cointegration models. A possible nonlinear extension is to relax the linearity and at the same time keep general properties such as nonstationarity and the Markov property. A null recurrent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067384
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We consider generalized linear models for regression modeling of count time series. We give easily verifiable conditions for obtaining weak dependence for such models. These results enable the development of maximum likelihood inference under minimal conditions. Some examples which are useful to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039818
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A local likelihood density estimator is shown to have asymptotic bias depending on the dimension of the local parameterization. Comparing with kernel estimation it is demonstrated using a variety of bandwidths that we may obtain as good and potentially even better estimates using local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011039866
This paper examines financial contagion, that is, whether the cross-market linkages in financial markets increase after a shock to a country. We use a new measure of local dependence (introduced by Tjøstheim and Hufthammer (2013)) to study the contagion effect. The central idea of the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042114
A general framework for analyzing estimates in nonlinear time series is developed. General conditions for strong consistency and asymptotic normality are derived both for conditional least squares and maximum likelihood types estimates. Ergodie strictly stationary processes are studied in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008875056
We study statistical properties of a class of non-linear models for regression analysis of count time series. Under mild conditions, it is shown that a perturbed version of the model is geometrically ergodic and possesses moments of any order. This result turns out to be instrumental on deriving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011000090
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